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Formula Summary
1. Total Dividend
Total Dividend = Dividend Per Share × Number of Shares
Where:
- Dividend Per Share = dividend paid for one share
- Number of Shares = number of shares owned
2. Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield = D / pB
Where:
- D = Dividend Per Share
- pB = Beginning Price Per Share
3. Capital Gain or Loss
Capital Gain/Loss = (pE - pB) / pB
Where:
- pB = Beginning Price
- pE = Ending Price
If pE > pB → Capital Gain
If pE < pB → Capital Loss
4. Simple Return
R = ((pE - pB) + D) / pB
Where:
- R = Simple Return
- pB = Beginning Price
- pE = Ending Price
- D = Dividend Per Share
Another way to write it:
Simple Return = Capital Gain/Loss + Dividend Yield
5. Convert Simple Return to Continuously Compounded Return
r = ln(1 + R)
Where:
- r = Continuously Compounded Return
- R = Simple Return
- ln = Natural Logarithm
Easy memory:
Simple → ln → Continuous
6. Convert Continuously Compounded Return to Simple Return
R = e^r - 1
Where:
- R = Simple Return
- r = Continuously Compounded Return
- e ≈ 2.71828
Easy memory:
Continuous → e → Simple
7. Multiperiod Simple Return
For several periods:
R(T) = (1 + R1) × (1 + R2) × … × (1 + RT) - 1
Where:
- R(T) = Total Simple Return over T periods
- R1 = Return in Period 1
- R2 = Return in Period 2
- RT = Return in the final period
- T = Number of periods
Easy memory:
Simple Returns = MULTIPLY across periods
8. Multiperiod Continuously Compounded Return
r(T) = r1 + r2 + … + rT
Where:
- r(T) = Total Continuously Compounded Return over T periods
- r1, r2, … rT = Continuously compounded returns for each period
Easy memory:
Continuously Compounded Returns = ADD across periods
9. Convert Multiperiod Simple Return to Multiperiod Continuously Compounded Return
r(T) = ln(1 + R(T))
10. Convert Multiperiod Continuously Compounded Return to Multiperiod Simple Return
R(T) = e^r(T) - 1
11. Terminal Capital Using Individual Simple Returns
CT = C0 × (1 + R1) × (1 + R2) × … × (1 + RT)
Where:
- C0 = Initial Capital / Starting Money
- CT = Terminal Capital / Ending Money
12. Terminal Capital Using Total Simple Return
Because:
(1 + R1) × (1 + R2) × … × (1 + RT) = 1 + R(T)
we can shorten the formula to:
CT = C0 × (1 + R(T))
So these two formulas mean the same thing:
CT = C0 × (1 + R1) × (1 + R2) × … × (1 + RT)
and
CT = C0 × (1 + R(T))
13. Terminal Capital Using Continuously Compounded Returns
Using all individual continuously compounded returns:
CT = C0 × e^(r1 + r2 + … + rT)
Because:
r(T) = r1 + r2 + … + rT
we can shorten it to:
CT = C0 × e^r(T)
14. Capital When the Same Return Happens Every Period
If the same return R happens every period:
CT = C0 × (1 + R)^T
Where:
- C0 = Starting Capital
- CT = Ending Capital
- R = Return per period
- T = Number of periods
Example with a -9.7% return for 4 years:
CT = $100 × (1 - 0.097)^4
15. Ending Value Using One Continuously Compounded Return
Ending Value = Beginning Value × e^r
Or:
CT = C0 × e^r
If there are T periods and r(T) is the total continuously compounded return:
CT = C0 × e^r(T)
Arithmetic Mean Return
16. Arithmetic Mean Return
AM = (R1 + R2 + … + RT) / T
Where:
- AM = Arithmetic Mean Return
- R1, R2, … RT = Individual Period Returns
- T = Number of Returns
Easy meaning:
Arithmetic Mean = Add all returns ÷ Number of returns
Arithmetic mean answers:
“What was the average of the individual returns?”
Geometric Mean Return
17. Geometric Mean Return
GM = [(1 + R1) × (1 + R2) × … × (1 + RT)]^(1/T) - 1
Where:
- GM = Geometric Mean Return
- R1, R2, … RT = Individual Period Returns
- T = Number of Periods
- 1/T = Take the T-th root
Easy meaning:
Geometric Mean = the constant return per period that would produce the same actual ending capital
Geometric mean answers:
“What constant return every period would give me the same final amount?”
18. Geometric Mean Using Starting and Ending Capital
The same idea can also be written as:
GM = (CT / C0)^(1/T) - 1
Where:
- C0 = Starting Capital
- CT = Ending Capital
- T = Number of Periods
For example, if:
C0 = $100
CT = $66.50
T = 4
Then:
GM = ($66.50 / $100)^(1/4) - 1
GM = 0.665^(1/4) - 1
GM ≈ -0.097 = -9.7%
If Dividends Are Taken Out Instead of Reinvested
19. Total Ending Wealth
If dividends are withdrawn and kept separately:
Total Ending Wealth = Ending Value of Investment + Dividends Taken Out
20. Total Simple Return With Withdrawn Dividends
Total Simple Return = (Total Ending Wealth - Beginning Investment) / Beginning Investment
This allows you to count the dividends as part of your total wealth even though they were not reinvested.
Percentage and Decimal Conversion
21. Percentage to Decimal
Decimal = Percentage / 100
Examples:
29.5% = 0.295
20% = 0.20
5% = 0.05
-9.7% = -0.097
22. Decimal to Percentage
Percentage = Decimal × 100
Examples:
0.295 × 100 = 29.5%
0.20 × 100 = 20%
-0.097 × 100 = -9.7%
Master Notes
- R = Simple Return
- r = Continuously Compounded Return
- R(T) = Total Simple Return over T periods
- r(T) = Total Continuously Compounded Return over T periods
- AM = Arithmetic Mean Return
- GM = Geometric Mean Return
- C0 = Initial Capital / Starting Money
- CT = Terminal Capital / Ending Money
- pB = Beginning Price
- pE = Ending Price
- D = Dividend Per Share
- T = Number of Periods
- ln = Natural Logarithm
- e ≈ 2.71828
Simplest Memory Rules
Simple Return:
R = ((pE - pB) + D) / pB
Simple → Continuous:
r = ln(1 + R)
Continuous → Simple:
R = e^r - 1
Multiple Simple Returns:
MULTIPLY
Multiple Continuously Compounded Returns:
ADD
Arithmetic Mean:
ADD returns, then DIVIDE by number of returns
Geometric Mean:
MULTIPLY growth factors, take the T-th root, then subtract 1
Arithmetic Mean = Average Return
Geometric Mean = Constant Compounded Growth Rate
Terminal Capital with Simple Return:
CT = C0 × (1 + R(T))
Terminal Capital with Continuously Compounded Return:
CT = C0 × e^r(T)
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Arithmetic Mean vs. Geometric Mean Return
This example shows why arithmetic mean return and geometric mean return can give very different answers even when they are calculated from the exact same annual returns.
The key idea is simple:
Arithmetic Mean Return = average of the yearly returns
Geometric Mean Return = the constant yearly return that would produce the same final investment value
These are two different questions, so they can give two different answers.
Brazil, 1995–1998
For learning purposes, suppose the Brazilian market had the following annual returns:
1995 = -27.1%
1996 = +152.9%
1997 = +112.1%
1998 = -83.0%
These figures are being used as an illustrative example to explain arithmetic and geometric mean returns. They should not be treated as actual historical Brazilian market returns.
Assume these returns include both capital gains or losses and dividends.
The returns were extremely different from year to year. Some years had very large gains, while other years had very large losses.
Now imagine that someone says:
“The mean annual return from 1995 to 1998 was 38.7%.”
That statement can actually be correct.
But another person could say:
“The mean annual return from 1995 to 1998 was -9.7%.”
That statement can also be correct.
How can one person say +38.7% while another says -9.7%, and both be correct?
The reason is that they are using two different types of mean return.
The 38.7% figure is the:
Arithmetic Mean Return
The -9.7% figure is the:
Geometric Mean Return
First: Arithmetic Mean Return
The arithmetic mean return, written as AM, is simply the normal average of the yearly returns.
The formula is:
AM = (R1 + R2 + … + RT) / T
For these four annual returns:
1995 = -27.1%
1996 = +152.9%
1997 = +112.1%
1998 = -83.0%
Add them together:
-27.1% + 152.9% + 112.1% - 83.0% = 154.9%
There are 4 annual returns.
So:
154.9% / 4 = 38.725%
Rounded:
Arithmetic Mean Return ≈ 38.7%
Therefore:
AM = 38.7%
This means that the ordinary average of the four annual returns was 38.7%.
That calculation is completely correct.
But there is a problem.
The arithmetic mean does not tell us the rate at which the actual money grew over those four years.
Why 38.7% Can Be Misleading
Suppose someone sees:
Arithmetic Mean Return = 38.7%
They might think:
“If I started with $100 and earned 38.7% every year for 4 years, how much would I have?”
If the return really were exactly 38.7% every year, the calculation would be:
Ending Capital = $100 × (1 + 0.387)^4
First:
1 + 0.387 = 1.387
So:
Ending Capital = $100 × 1.387^4
Approximately:
Ending Capital = $370.5
This would mean:
$100 → $370.50
But that is NOT what actually happened.
Why?
Because the investment did not earn 38.7% every year.
The actual annual returns in this example were:
-27.1%
+152.9%
+112.1%
-83.0%
Those returns must be applied one after another.
What Actually Happened to $100?
Suppose you invested:
$100
at the beginning of 1995.
We now follow the actual returns year by year.
1995: Lose 27.1%
Starting money:
$100
Return:
-27.1%
You keep:
100% - 27.1% = 72.9%
In decimal form:
72.9% = 0.729
So:
$100 × 0.729 = $72.90
After 1995:
$100 → $72.90
1996: Gain 152.9%
Now you start with:
$72.90
The return is:
+152.9%
A 152.9% gain means you keep your original 100% plus another 152.9%.
So the growth factor is:
1 + 1.529 = 2.529
Now calculate:
$72.90 × 2.529 ≈ $184.36
After 1996:
$72.90 → $184.36
1997: Gain 112.1%
Now you start with approximately:
$184.36
The return is:
+112.1%
Growth factor:
1 + 1.121 = 2.121
So:
$184.36 × 2.121 ≈ $391.02
After 1997:
$184.36 → approximately $391.02
1998: Lose 83.0%
Now you start with approximately:
$391.02
The return is:
-83.0%
If you lose 83%, you keep only:
100% - 83% = 17%
In decimal form:
17% = 0.17
So:
$391.02 × 0.17 ≈ $66.47
Rounded:
Ending Capital ≈ $66.50
Therefore:
$100 → approximately $66.50
So although the arithmetic mean return was:
+38.7%
the investor actually ended with less money than they started with.
The Full Multiperiod Calculation
Instead of calculating every year separately, we can write the whole calculation in one line:
$100 × (1 - 0.271) × (1 + 1.529) × (1 + 1.121) × (1 - 0.830)
This becomes:
$100 × 0.729 × 2.529 × 2.121 × 0.170
Approximately:
$100 × 0.6648 = $66.48
Rounded:
Ending Capital ≈ $66.50
This is the actual result of applying all four yearly returns.
Why Didn’t the Arithmetic Mean Work?
Because simple returns compound.
Each year’s return applies to the amount of money remaining after the previous year.
The arithmetic mean simply does this:
Add the returns and divide by 4
It does not account for how your capital grows and shrinks from year to year.
But your actual money does.
For example, an 83% loss after large gains is devastating because that 83% loss is applied to a much larger amount of money.
That is why:
Arithmetic Mean Return = 38.7%
does not mean:
Your money grew at 38.7% every year
It only means:
The ordinary average of the four annual returns was 38.7%.
Now: The Geometric Mean Return
The geometric mean return, written as GM, answers a different question.
It asks:
“What single constant annual return would turn my starting money into the actual ending money over the same number of years?”
In this example:
Starting Capital = $100
Ending Capital ≈ $66.50
Number of Years = 4
So we want to find the single yearly return that would turn:
$100 → $66.50
over 4 years.
That annual return is approximately:
-9.7%
This is the geometric mean return.
What Does -9.7% Mean?
It does NOT mean the market actually returned exactly -9.7% in each of the four years.
It did not.
The annual returns in this example were:
1995 = -27.1%
1996 = +152.9%
1997 = +112.1%
1998 = -83.0%
Instead, -9.7% means:
If the investment had earned the same return every year for 4 years, a return of about -9.7% per year would have produced the same final value of approximately $66.50.
That is the key meaning of the geometric mean.
Geometric Mean Formula
The geometric mean return is:
GM = [(1 + R1) × (1 + R2) × … × (1 + RT)]^(1/T) - 1
Do not let the formula look scary.
It simply does three things:
1. Multiply all the growth factors together.
2. Find the T-th root.
3. Subtract 1.
For four years:
T = 4
So we use the 4th root.
Geometric Mean Calculation
The four growth factors are:
1995:
1 - 0.271 = 0.729
1996:
1 + 1.529 = 2.529
1997:
1 + 1.121 = 2.121
1998:
1 - 0.830 = 0.170
Multiply them:
0.729 × 2.529 × 2.121 × 0.170 ≈ 0.6648
This means that after all four years, the investment is worth about:
66.48% of its original value
Now find the 4th root of 0.6648:
0.6648^(1/4) ≈ 0.903
Now subtract 1:
0.903 - 1 = -0.097
Convert to percentage:
-0.097 × 100 = -9.7%
Therefore:
Geometric Mean Return ≈ -9.7%
Why Do We Use the 4th Root?
Because there are 4 years.
We want to find one constant annual growth factor that, when multiplied by itself 4 times, gives the same total result.
We know the total growth factor is approximately:
0.6648
So we are asking:
“What number multiplied by itself 4 times equals approximately 0.6648?”
That number is approximately:
0.903
So:
0.903 × 0.903 × 0.903 × 0.903 ≈ 0.6648
And:
0.903 = 1 - 0.097
Therefore:
Geometric Mean Return ≈ -9.7%
Why $100 × (1 - 0.097)^4 = $66.5?
Now the formula should make much more sense.
The geometric mean return is:
-9.7% per year
Convert it into decimal form:
-9.7% = -0.097
The annual growth factor is:
1 - 0.097 = 0.903
There are 4 years.
Therefore:
$100 × 0.903^4
which is the same as:
$100 × (1 - 0.097)^4
Approximately:
$100 × 0.665 = $66.50
So:
$100 → $66.50
This matches the actual result produced by the four annual returns.
That is why the geometric mean properly describes the constant annual rate at which the investment would have grown or declined over the whole period.
Arithmetic Mean vs. Geometric Mean
The arithmetic mean asks:
“What is the average of the individual yearly returns?”
Answer:
38.7%
The geometric mean asks:
“What constant annual return would have produced the same actual final investment value?”
Answer:
-9.7%
Both calculations are correct.
They simply answer different questions.
Why Can One Be Positive and the Other Negative?
This is probably the strangest part at first.
How can:
Arithmetic Mean = +38.7%
while:
Geometric Mean = -9.7%?
Because the yearly returns were extremely volatile.
There were huge gains:
+152.9%
+112.1%
But there was also a devastating loss:
-83.0%
An 83% loss destroys most of the capital remaining at that point.
The arithmetic mean treats all four percentages like ordinary numbers and averages them.
But the geometric mean considers how those returns actually compound on the investment.
That is why geometric mean is much more useful when asking:
“How did my money actually grow over several years?”
A Very Simple Example of the Same Idea
Suppose you invest:
$100
Year 1:
+50%
Year 2:
-50%
Arithmetic Mean:
(50% - 50%) / 2 = 0%
But actual money:
Year 1:
$100 × 1.50 = $150
Year 2:
$150 × 0.50 = $75
So:
$100 → $75
You actually lost:
25%
Therefore, an arithmetic mean of 0% does NOT mean your money stayed unchanged.
The geometric mean would show the constant annual rate that takes $100 to $75 over two years.
That is why the geometric mean is better for describing actual compounded growth over time.
The Simplest Way to Remember the Difference
Think:
Arithmetic Mean = Average Return
Geometric Mean = Growth Rate
Or even simpler:
Arithmetic Mean asks: “What was the average percentage?”
Geometric Mean asks: “What constant yearly rate matches what actually happened to my money over time?”
Notes
- AM = Arithmetic Mean Return
- GM = Geometric Mean Return
- Arithmetic mean is the ordinary average.
- Arithmetic Mean formula:
AM = (R1 + R2 + … + RT) / T
- In the illustrative example, the four annual returns are:
-27.1%, +152.9%, +112.1%, -83.0%
- Arithmetic Mean:
(-27.1% + 152.9% + 112.1% - 83.0%) / 4
= 38.7% approximately
- Arithmetic Mean Return = +38.7%
- This does NOT mean the investment actually grew at 38.7% every year.
- Actual investment growth must use the yearly returns one after another.
- Starting with $100:
$100 × 0.729 × 2.529 × 2.121 × 0.170 ≈ $66.50
- Therefore:
$100 → approximately $66.50
- The investor actually lost money over the full period.
- Geometric Mean Return = constant annual return that would produce the same ending capital.
- Geometric Mean formula:
GM = [(1 + R1) × (1 + R2) × … × (1 + RT)]^(1/T) - 1
- In this example:
GM ≈ -9.7%
- This means a constant return of approximately -9.7% per year for 4 years would turn $100 into approximately $66.50.
- Calculation:
$100 × (1 - 0.097)^4 ≈ $66.50
- ^4 means the annual growth factor is applied for 4 periods.
- Arithmetic mean answers:
“What was the average of the yearly returns?”
- Geometric mean answers:
“What constant annual return matches the actual compounded growth of my money?”
- Arithmetic mean can be positive even when the investment actually loses money over the whole period.
- Large gains and large losses can create this situation because returns compound.
- Geometric mean takes compounding into account.
- The Brazil example above is illustrative only and is not being presented as actual historical Brazilian market data.
- Easy memory:
Arithmetic Mean = Average
Geometric Mean = Actual Growth Rate
- Most important idea:
+38.7% arithmetic mean and -9.7% geometric mean can both be correct because they measure different things.
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Converting Simple Return to Continuously Compounded Return
The easiest way to understand the relationship between a simple return and a continuously compounded return is to remember that they describe the same investment performance, but they express it in different mathematical ways.
A simple return, written as R, tells you how much your investment gained or lost compared with the amount you started with.
A continuously compounded return, written as r, expresses that same gain or loss using a different mathematical method.
The conversion formula is:
r = ln(1 + R)
Where:
r = Continuously Compounded Return
R = Simple Return
ln = Natural Logarithm
The most important thing is that R must be entered as a decimal, not as a percentage.
For example:
20% = 0.20
10% = 0.10
5% = 0.05
29.5% = 0.295
Example 1: Converting a 20% Simple Return
Suppose:
Simple Return = 20%
First convert 20% into decimal form:
20% = 0.20
Use the formula:
r = ln(1 + R)
Insert R = 0.20:
r = ln(1 + 0.20)
r = ln(1.20)
Using the ln button on a calculator:
ln(1.20) ≈ 0.1823
Convert the result back into a percentage:
0.1823 × 100 = 18.23%
Therefore:
Simple Return = 20%
Continuously Compounded Return = 18.23%
They are different percentages, but they represent the same investment performance.
Example 2: Including a Dividend
Suppose:
Beginning Price = $50 per share
Ending Price = $60 per share
Dividend = $2 per share
First calculate the simple return.
The simple return formula is:
R = ((Ending Price - Beginning Price) + Dividend) / Beginning Price
Put in the numbers:
R = (($60 - $50) + $2) / $50
First calculate the price gain:
$60 - $50 = $10
Then add the dividend:
$10 + $2 = $12
Now divide by the beginning price:
$12 / $50 = 0.24 = 24%
Therefore:
Simple Return = 24%
Now convert the 24% simple return into a continuously compounded return.
First convert 24% into decimal form:
24% = 0.24
Use:
r = ln(1 + R)
So:
r = ln(1 + 0.24)
r = ln(1.24)
Using a calculator:
ln(1.24) ≈ 0.2151
Convert to percentage:
0.2151 × 100 = 21.51%
Therefore:
Simple Return = 24%
Continuously Compounded Return ≈ 21.51%
An important point is that the dividend was already included when calculating the 24% simple return.
Therefore, you do not add the dividend again when calculating the continuously compounded return.
If you added the dividend again, you would count the same dividend twice.
The correct process is:
Price Change + Dividend → Simple Return → Continuously Compounded Return
Example 3: Coca-Cola
Suppose:
Beginning Price = $45.27
Ending Price = $57.00
Dividend Per Share = $1.64
First calculate the simple return.
The formula is:
R = ((pE - pB) + D) / pB
Put in the numbers:
R = (($57.00 - $45.27) + $1.64) / $45.27
First calculate the price increase:
$57.00 - $45.27 = $11.73
Then add the dividend:
$11.73 + $1.64 = $13.37
Now divide by the beginning price:
$13.37 / $45.27 ≈ 0.295
Convert into a percentage:
0.295 × 100 = 29.5%
Therefore:
Simple Return ≈ 29.5%
Now convert that simple return into a continuously compounded return.
Convert 29.5% into decimal form:
29.5% = 0.295
Use:
r = ln(1 + R)
So:
r = ln(1 + 0.295)
r = ln(1.295)
Using a calculator:
ln(1.295) ≈ 0.259
Convert to percentage:
0.259 × 100 = 25.9%
Therefore:
Continuously Compounded Return ≈ 25.9%
So:
29.5% Simple Return = 25.9% Continuously Compounded Return
These percentages are different, but they represent the same investment performance.
How to Convert Back
If you already know the continuously compounded return and want to find the simple return, use:
R = e^r - 1
Where:
R = Simple Return
r = Continuously Compounded Return
e ≈ 2.71828
For example:
Continuously Compounded Return = 25.9%
First convert 25.9% into decimal form:
25.9% = 0.259
Then use:
R = e^0.259 - 1
Using a calculator:
e^0.259 ≈ 1.295
Subtract 1:
1.295 - 1 = 0.295
Convert into a percentage:
0.295 × 100 = 29.5%
Therefore:
Continuously Compounded Return = 25.9%
Simple Return = 29.5%
So you can move in both directions.
Simple Return → Continuously Compounded Return
Use:
r = ln(1 + R)
Continuously Compounded Return → Simple Return
Use:
R = e^r - 1
Notes — Simple Return
- Symbol = R
- Simple return tells you the gain or loss compared with the amount you started with.
- Simple return is usually easier to understand because it directly compares beginning money with ending money.
- For a stock, simple return can include both a capital gain or loss and a dividend yield.
- Simple Return formula:
R = ((pE - pB) + D) / pB
- pB = Beginning Price
- pE = Ending Price
- D = Dividend Per Share
- Simple return can also be understood as:
Simple Return = Capital Gain/Loss + Dividend Yield
- Capital Gain/Loss formula:
(pE - pB) / pB
- Dividend Yield formula:
D / pB
- Example:
Beginning Price = $50
Ending Price = $60
Dividend = $2
Price increase:
$60 - $50 = $10
Add dividend:
$10 + $2 = $12
Simple Return:
$12 / $50 = 0.24 = 24%
- Therefore:
Simple Return = 24%
- For multiple periods, simple returns are multiplicative.
- This means you normally multiply the growth factors, not add the simple returns.
- Multiperiod simple return formula:
R(T) = (1 + R1) × (1 + R2) × … × (1 + RT) - 1
- Easy memory rule:
Simple Returns → MULTIPLY across periods
Notes — Continuously Compounded Return
- Symbol = r
- A continuously compounded return is another way of expressing the same investment gain or loss.
- It uses a mathematical function called a natural logarithm.
- It can also be called:
- Log Return
- Logarithmic Return
- These names mean the same thing:
Continuously Compounded Return = Log Return = Logarithmic Return
- Formula for converting from a simple return:
r = ln(1 + R)
- ln = Natural Logarithm
- Use the ln button on a scientific calculator.
- Always convert the simple return percentage into a decimal first.
- Example:
Simple Return = 20%
20% = 0.20
r = ln(1.20)
r ≈ 0.1823
r ≈ 18.23%
- Therefore:
20% Simple Return = 18.23% Continuously Compounded Return
- To convert back into a simple return:
R = e^r - 1
- e ≈ 2.71828
- Use the e^x or exp function on a calculator.
- For multiple periods, continuously compounded returns are additive.
- This means you can simply add the individual continuously compounded returns.
- Multiperiod formula:
r(T) = r1 + r2 + … + rT
- Easy memory rule:
Continuously Compounded Returns → ADD across periods
Notes — Difference Between Simple Return and Continuously Compounded Return
- Simple Return symbol = R
- Continuously Compounded Return symbol = r
- Simple return expresses the investment gain or loss in the normal percentage form.
- Continuously compounded return expresses the same investment gain or loss using logarithms.
- Simple return is generally easier for beginners and investors to understand.
- Continuously compounded return is commonly used in financial analysis, statistics, and financial models.
- Simple return for a stock may directly include:
- Capital gain or loss
- Dividend yield
- Continuously compounded return is normally calculated after the simple return has already been calculated.
- Simple Return formula:
R = ((pE - pB) + D) / pB
- Continuously Compounded Return formula:
r = ln(1 + R)
- Example:
Simple Return = 29.5%
Continuously Compounded Return = 25.9%
- These percentages are different, but they represent the same investment performance.
- A dividend should be included when calculating the simple return if the dividend was received during the holding period.
- Once the dividend has already been included in the simple return, do not add it again when converting to the continuously compounded return.
- For multiple periods:
- Simple Returns = Multiply
- Continuously Compounded Returns = Add
- Simple returns are multiplicative across periods.
- Continuously compounded returns are additive across periods.
- Simple multiperiod formula:
R(T) = (1 + R1) × (1 + R2) × … × (1 + RT) - 1
- Continuously compounded multiperiod formula:
r(T) = r1 + r2 + … + rT
- To convert from simple return to continuously compounded return:
r = ln(1 + R)
- To convert from continuously compounded return back to simple return:
R = e^r - 1
- Easy memory:
Simple → ln → Continuous
Continuous → e → Simple
- Easy multiperiod memory:
Simple = MULTIPLY
Continuous = ADD
- Most important idea:
Simple return and continuously compounded return are not two different profits. They are two different ways of expressing the same investment performance.
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Multiperiod Returns
A multiperiod return is simply the return you earn over more than one period.
A period could be one day, one month, or one year. So if you hold an investment for 5 years, you have a 5-year multiperiod return.
The most important rule is:
Simple returns are multiplicative.
Continuously compounded returns are additive.
Those two sentences sound difficult, but the idea is actually very simple.
First: What Does “Multiplicative” Mean?
Multiplicative simply means we multiply the returns from each period together.
Suppose you invest:
$100
Your investment earns:
Year 1 = +10%
Year 2 = +20%
You might think:
10% + 20% = 30%
But that is not the correct total simple return.
Why?
Because after Year 1, you no longer have $100.
You have:
$100 × 1.10 = $110
Then the 20% return in Year 2 is earned on $110, not the original $100.
Year 2:
$110 × 1.20 = $132
So you started with:
$100
and ended with:
$132
Your total gain is:
$132 - $100 = $32
Therefore:
2-Year Simple Return = $32 / $100 = 32%
So:
Year 1 = 10%
Year 2 = 20%
but:
Total Simple Return = 32%, not 30%
This happens because simple returns compound.
The Simple Return Multiperiod Formula
For several periods:
R(T) = (1 + R1) × (1 + R2) × … × (1 + RT) - 1
Where:
R(T) = total simple return over all periods
R1 = return in Period 1
R2 = return in Period 2
RT = return in the final period
T = total number of periods
The important part is:
Multiply, then subtract 1.
Easy 2-Year Example
Suppose:
Year 1 Simple Return = 10%
Year 2 Simple Return = 20%
First convert percentages into decimals:
10% = 0.10
20% = 0.20
Then:
R(2) = (1 + 0.10) × (1 + 0.20) - 1
R(2) = 1.10 × 1.20 - 1
R(2) = 1.32 - 1
R(2) = 0.32
R(2) = 32%
Therefore:
2-Year Simple Return = 32%
Why Do We Add 1?
This is very important.
Suppose your return is 10%.
You do not multiply your money by 0.10 because that would only calculate the profit.
Instead:
1 + 0.10 = 1.10
The 1 represents your original 100% of money.
The 0.10 represents your extra 10% return.
So:
1.10 = original money + 10% gain
Similarly:
20% return → 1.20
5% return → 1.05
30% return → 1.30
What If You Lose Money?
The same rule works with negative returns.
Suppose:
Year 1 Return = -20%
Year 2 Return = +10%
Convert them to decimals:
-20% = -0.20
10% = 0.10
Then:
R(2) = (1 - 0.20) × (1 + 0.10) - 1
R(2) = 0.80 × 1.10 - 1
R(2) = 0.88 - 1
R(2) = -0.12
Therefore:
2-Year Simple Return = -12%
Let’s see this using money.
Start with:
$100
After losing 20%:
$100 × 0.80 = $80
Then gain 10%:
$80 × 1.10 = $88
You finish with:
$88
You lost:
$100 - $88 = $12
So:
Total Return = -12%
Notice:
-20% + 10% = -10%
But your actual total return is:
-12%
This is another reason why you should not simply add simple returns across periods.
Continuously Compounded Returns Are Different
A continuously compounded return, written as r, works differently over multiple periods.
Instead of multiplying the yearly continuously compounded returns, we simply add them.
This is why continuously compounded returns are called additive.
The formula is:
r(T) = r1 + r2 + … + rT
Where:
r(T) = total continuously compounded return
r1 = continuously compounded return in Period 1
r2 = continuously compounded return in Period 2
rT = continuously compounded return in the final period
So the rule is extremely simple:
Simple Returns → Multiply
Continuously Compounded Returns → Add
Easy Continuously Compounded Example
Suppose:
Year 1 continuously compounded return = 8%
Year 2 continuously compounded return = 12%
The total continuously compounded return is simply:
8% + 12% = 20%
Therefore:
2-Year Continuously Compounded Return = 20%
There is no need to multiply the individual log returns.
You simply add them.
Why Is This Useful?
Imagine you have returns for 10 years.
With simple returns, you have to multiply all 10 growth factors:
(1 + R1) × (1 + R2) × … × (1 + R10)
With continuously compounded returns, you can simply do:
r1 + r2 + … + r10
That is one reason log returns are useful in finance.
Coca-Cola Multiperiod Example
Suppose someone bought Coca-Cola shares at the end of 2000 and held them until the end of 2009.
That is a nine-year investment period covering the annual returns from 2001 through 2009.
Assume that all dividends received were reinvested.
Reinvested dividends means that instead of taking the dividend cash and spending it, the investor puts that money back into the investment.
This allows the dividend money to also participate in future investment growth.
Coca-Cola Using Simple Returns
To calculate the total nine-year simple return, all the yearly simple-return growth factors are multiplied together.
The calculation begins like this:
R(9) = (1 - 0.214) × (1 - 0.053) × … × (1 + 0.295) - 1
The … simply means there are other yearly returns between those shown.
After multiplying all nine annual return factors:
R(9) = 0.154
Convert it into a percentage:
0.154 × 100 = 15.4%
Therefore:
9-Year Simple Return = 15.4%
This means that over the entire nine-year period, the investment grew by 15.4% overall.
It does not mean 15.4% every year.
It means 15.4% for the whole nine-year period combined.
Coca-Cola Using Continuously Compounded Returns
Now we can describe the exact same nine-year investment using continuously compounded returns.
Instead of multiplying the yearly returns, we add them.
The calculation is:
r(9) = -0.241 - 0.055 + … + 0.259
After adding all nine continuously compounded annual returns:
r(9) = 0.143
Convert it into a percentage:
0.143 × 100 = 14.3%
Therefore:
9-Year Continuously Compounded Return = 14.3%
So the same nine-year investment can be described as:
9-Year Simple Return = 15.4%
or
9-Year Continuously Compounded Return = 14.3%
These percentages are different, but they describe the same investment performance.
You Can Convert Between Them
Just like with a one-period return, you can convert a multiperiod simple return into a multiperiod continuously compounded return.
The formula is:
r(T) = ln(1 + R(T))
For Coca-Cola:
Simple Return = 15.4%
Convert to decimal:
15.4% = 0.154
Then:
r(9) = ln(1 + 0.154)
r(9) = ln(1.154)
r(9) ≈ 0.143
Convert to percentage:
0.143 × 100 = 14.3%
So:
15.4% Simple Return = 14.3% Continuously Compounded Return
They describe the same total growth.
Converting Back to Simple Return
You can also go backwards.
The formula is:
R(T) = e^r(T) - 1
We know:
r(9) = 14.3%
Convert it into decimal form:
14.3% = 0.143
Then:
R(9) = e^0.143 - 1
R(9) ≈ 1.154 - 1
R(9) ≈ 0.154
Convert to percentage:
0.154 × 100 = 15.4%
So again:
14.3% Continuously Compounded Return = 15.4% Simple Return
Same investment performance.
Different way of expressing it.
Now Let’s Use Actual Money
Suppose you invested:
$100
in Coca-Cola at the end of 2000 and held the investment through the end of 2009, while reinvesting all dividends.
The total nine-year simple return was:
15.4%
So how much would your $100 become?
Beginning Capital = $100
Simple Return = 15.4%
Ending Capital:
$100 × (1 + 0.154)
= $100 × 1.154
= $115.40
Therefore:
$100 became $115.40
Your total profit was:
$115.40 - $100 = $15.40
The Same Result Using Continuously Compounded Return
The continuously compounded return was:
14.3%
or:
r(9) = 0.143
To calculate the ending amount using a continuously compounded return:
Ending Capital = Beginning Capital × e^r(T)
So:
Ending Capital = $100 × e^0.143
e^0.143 ≈ 1.154
Therefore:
$100 × 1.154 = $115.40
Again:
Ending Capital = $115.40
So both methods produce exactly the same ending amount.
See the Important Point
Using simple returns:
$100 × (1 + 15.4%) = $115.40
Using continuously compounded returns:
$100 × e^0.143 = $115.40
Both give:
$115.40
Therefore:
15.4% Simple Return
and
14.3% Continuously Compounded Return
describe the same growth from $100 to $115.40.
What Is Capital?
The term capital simply means the amount of money you have invested.
C0 means your initial capital, or the amount you start with.
CT means your terminal capital, or the amount you have at the end.
So:
C0 = Starting Money
CT = Ending Money
For example:
C0 = $100
CT = $115.40
Terminal Capital Using Simple Returns
If you start with capital C0 and invest it for several periods, the ending capital can be calculated using simple returns as:
CT = C0 × (1 + R1) × (1 + R2) × … × (1 + RT)
Because all those yearly returns together give the total multiperiod simple return, we can also write:
CT = C0 × (1 + R(T))
For the Coca-Cola example:
C0 = $100
R(9) = 15.4%
So:
CT = $100 × (1 + 0.154)
CT = $100 × 1.154
CT = $115.40
Terminal Capital Using Continuously Compounded Returns
We can also calculate ending capital using continuously compounded returns.
First, add all the individual continuously compounded returns:
r(T) = r1 + r2 + … + rT
Then:
CT = C0 × e^r(T)
For Coca-Cola:
C0 = $100
r(9) = 0.143
Therefore:
CT = $100 × e^0.143
CT = $100 × 1.154
CT = $115.40
Again, both methods give exactly the same result.
Why Is One Multiplicative and the Other Additive?
This is the main idea of the entire topic.
Simple returns are multiplicative because your money changes after every period.
If you gain 10%, your money becomes:
Original Money × 1.10
If you then gain another 20%, you multiply the new amount by:
1.20
Therefore:
1.10 × 1.20
That is why simple returns are multiplicative.
Continuously compounded returns are additive because log returns can simply be added across time.
If:
Year 1 log return = r1
Year 2 log return = r2
then:
Total Log Return = r1 + r2
That is why continuously compounded returns are additive.
The Simplest Possible Example
You invest:
$100
Year 1 return = +10%
Year 2 return = +20%
Using Simple Returns
$100 × 1.10 = $110
$110 × 1.20 = $132
So:
Ending Money = $132
Total Simple Return:
($132 - $100) / $100 = 32%
Therefore:
Total Simple Return = 32%
Using Continuously Compounded Returns
Convert Year 1:
ln(1.10) ≈ 0.0953 = 9.53%
Convert Year 2:
ln(1.20) ≈ 0.1823 = 18.23%
Now simply add them:
9.53% + 18.23% = 27.76%
So:
Total Continuously Compounded Return = 27.76%
Convert it back:
e^0.2776 - 1 ≈ 0.32 = 32% Simple Return
Both describe the same movement:
$100 → $132
The Most Important Rule
If you remember only one thing from this topic, remember:
Simple Returns = MULTIPLY
Continuously Compounded Returns = ADD
For example:
Simple returns:
(1 + R1) × (1 + R2) × (1 + R3) - 1
Continuously compounded returns:
r1 + r2 + r3
Notes
- Multiperiod Return = return over more than one period.
- A period can be a day, month, year, or another chosen length of time.
- T = total number of periods.
- R(T) = total simple return over T periods.
- r(T) = total continuously compounded return over T periods.
- Simple returns are multiplicative.
- Continuously compounded returns are additive.
- Do not normally add simple returns from different periods.
- To combine simple returns: multiply the growth factors.
- Simple multiperiod formula: R(T) = (1 + R1) × (1 + R2) × … × (1 + RT) - 1
- To combine continuously compounded returns: add them together.
- Continuously compounded multiperiod formula: r(T) = r1 + r2 + … + rT
- To convert total simple return to total continuously compounded return: r(T) = ln(1 + R(T))
- To convert total continuously compounded return to total simple return: R(T) = e^r(T) - 1
- C0 = initial capital, or starting money.
- CT = terminal capital, or ending money.
- Using simple returns: CT = C0 × (1 + R(T))
- Using continuously compounded returns: CT = C0 × e^r(T)
- Both methods give the same terminal capital.
- Coca-Cola nine-year simple return = 15.4%.
- Coca-Cola nine-year continuously compounded return = 14.3%.
- $100 invested over that period became approximately $115.40.
- Reinvesting dividends means putting dividends back into the investment instead of taking the cash out.
- Reinvested dividends can then participate in future investment growth.
- A total nine-year return of 15.4% means 15.4% over the whole nine years, not 15.4% every year.
- Easy memory rule: Simple = Multiply. Continuous = Add.
- Simplest idea: different calculations, same investment, same final money.
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Continuously Compounded Returns
A continuously compounded return, written as r, is simply another way of expressing the gain or loss from an investment. It describes the same investment result as a simple return, but it expresses that result in a different way.
Think about measuring distance. The distance between Miami and Chicago could be described as approximately 1,200 miles or approximately 1,900 kilometers. The actual distance has not changed. We are simply expressing the same distance using two different units.
Returns work in a similar way. An investment’s gain or loss can be expressed using a simple return or a continuously compounded return. The numbers will usually be different, but they describe the same investment performance over the same period.
For example, Coca-Cola’s return during 2009 can be expressed as a 29.5% simple return. The same investment performance can also be expressed as a 25.9% continuously compounded return.
So:
Coca-Cola’s 2009 performance:
Simple Return = 29.5%
Continuously Compounded Return = 25.9%
These numbers are different, but they describe the same gain during the same year.
Simple Return vs. Continuously Compounded Return
We already know that a simple return, written as R, tells us how much our investment gained or lost compared with the amount we originally invested.
For example, if we invest $100 and finish with $120, our gain is $20.
Simple Return = Gain / Beginning Investment
Simple Return = $20 / $100
Simple Return = 0.20 = 20%
So the simple return is 20%.
A continuously compounded return, written as r, takes that same simple return and expresses it using a natural logarithm.
The formula is:
r = ln(1 + R)
Where:
r = Continuously Compounded Return
R = Simple Return
ln = Natural Logarithm
Do not let the term natural logarithm make this look difficult. For what we are doing here, ln is simply a button on a scientific calculator. You do not need to understand all the mathematics behind logarithms yet to calculate the return.
The basic process is:
Step 1: Take the simple return.
Step 2: Convert the percentage into a decimal.
Step 3: Add 1.
Step 4: Press ln on the calculator.
That gives you the continuously compounded return.
Coca-Cola Example
Coca-Cola had a simple return of 29.5% during 2009.
We want to convert this simple return into a continuously compounded return.
The formula is:
r = ln(1 + R)
First, convert 29.5% into decimal form:
29.5% = 0.295
Therefore:
R = 0.295
Now put it into the formula:
r = ln(1 + 0.295)
Add 1:
r = ln(1.295)
Using the ln button on a calculator:
ln(1.295) ≈ 0.259
Convert the decimal back into a percentage:
0.259 × 100 = 25.9%
Therefore:
Continuously Compounded Return = 25.9%
So Coca-Cola’s 2009 return can be expressed in two ways:
Simple Return = 29.5%
Continuously Compounded Return = 25.9%
Again, this does not mean Coca-Cola produced two different investment gains. It is the same investment result expressed in two different ways.
Think again about distance:
1,200 miles ≈ 1,900 kilometers
They look like different numbers, but they describe the same distance.
Similarly:
29.5% Simple Return = 25.9% Continuously Compounded Return
They look like different percentages, but they describe the same investment performance.
What Does “ln” Mean?
The symbol ln means natural logarithm.
For a beginner, the easiest way to think about it is:
ln is a mathematical function used to convert a simple return into a continuously compounded return.
You normally do not calculate ln manually. You use the ln button on a scientific calculator.
For example:
ln(1.295) ≈ 0.259
That is all you need to do for this calculation.
Remember:
ln does NOT mean divide.
ln does NOT mean multiply.
It is its own mathematical function.
Another Simple Example
Suppose an investment has a 10% simple return.
We want to find its continuously compounded return.
First convert 10% into decimal form:
10% = 0.10
Use the formula:
r = ln(1 + R)
Put in R = 0.10:
r = ln(1 + 0.10)
r = ln(1.10)
Using a calculator:
ln(1.10) ≈ 0.0953
Convert this into a percentage:
0.0953 × 100 ≈ 9.53%
Therefore:
Simple Return = 10%
Continuously Compounded Return ≈ 9.53%
Both numbers represent the same investment performance.
Example Using Money
Suppose you invest $1,000 and your investment grows to $1,100.
Your gain is:
$1,100 - $1,000 = $100
Your simple return is:
$100 / $1,000 = 0.10 = 10%
So:
R = 10%
Now calculate the continuously compounded return:
r = ln(1 + 0.10)
r = ln(1.10)
r ≈ 0.0953
r ≈ 9.53%
Therefore, the same investment can be described as:
Simple Return = 10%
or
Continuously Compounded Return = 9.53%
The amount of money you actually have at the end is still $1,100. We have simply changed the way we express the return.
Converting Back to a Simple Return
We can also go in the opposite direction.
If we already know the continuously compounded return, we can convert it back into a simple return.
The formula is:
R = e^r - 1
Where:
R = Simple Return
r = Continuously Compounded Return
e ≈ 2.71828
The number e is a special mathematical number, just like π is a special mathematical number.
You do not normally need to calculate powers of e manually. A scientific calculator usually has an e^x button or an exp function.
Coca-Cola Example: Converting Back
We already know that Coca-Cola’s continuously compounded return was approximately:
r = 25.9%
First convert 25.9% into decimal form:
25.9% = 0.259
Use the formula:
R = e^r - 1
Put in r = 0.259:
R = e^0.259 - 1
Using a calculator:
e^0.259 ≈ 1.295
Then subtract 1:
1.295 - 1 = 0.295
Convert it into a percentage:
0.295 × 100 = 29.5%
Therefore:
Simple Return = 29.5%
So we went from:
29.5% Simple Return → 25.9% Continuously Compounded Return
and then back from:
25.9% Continuously Compounded Return → 29.5% Simple Return
They are simply two different ways of expressing the same return.
The Two Conversion Formulas
To convert a simple return into a continuously compounded return:
r = ln(1 + R)
To convert a continuously compounded return into a simple return:
R = e^r - 1
A very easy way to remember the direction is:
Simple → use ln → Continuous
Continuous → use e → Simple
Why Are the Two Returns Different?
You might wonder why a simple return of 29.5% becomes a continuously compounded return of only 25.9%.
The reason is that the two methods measure the same gain using different mathematical systems.
You do not need to worry too much about the deeper mathematics yet. The important point is:
Simple returns and continuously compounded returns are two different ways of expressing the same investment performance.
The continuously compounded return will not normally have exactly the same percentage as the simple return.
For Coca-Cola:
Simple Return = 29.5%
Continuously Compounded Return = 25.9%
Do not accidentally treat these as the same number.
What Happens When Returns Are Small?
There is an important relationship between simple returns and continuously compounded returns.
When the simple return is small, the difference between the simple return and the continuously compounded return is also small.
Mathematically, when R is small:
r ≈ R
The symbol ≈ means approximately equal to.
In simple words:
When the return is small, simple return and continuously compounded return are very close to each other.
For example, suppose the simple return is only 2%.
Convert 2% into decimal form:
2% = 0.02
Now calculate the continuously compounded return:
r = ln(1 + 0.02)
r = ln(1.02)
r ≈ 0.0198
Convert it to a percentage:
0.0198 × 100 ≈ 1.98%
So:
Simple Return = 2.00%
Continuously Compounded Return ≈ 1.98%
The difference is tiny:
2.00% - 1.98% = 0.02 percentage points
Therefore, when returns are small, it usually makes very little difference whether we look at the simple return or continuously compounded return.
What Happens When Returns Are Larger?
When the return becomes larger, the difference between the two measures can become more noticeable.
For example, suppose the simple return is 50%.
Convert it into decimal form:
50% = 0.50
Calculate the continuously compounded return:
r = ln(1 + 0.50)
r = ln(1.50)
r ≈ 0.4055
Convert it into a percentage:
0.4055 × 100 ≈ 40.55%
Therefore:
Simple Return = 50%
Continuously Compounded Return ≈ 40.55%
Now there is a much bigger difference between the two percentages.
This means that in some periods the simple return and continuously compounded return may be very close, while in other periods the difference may be substantial.
What About a Loss?
Continuously compounded returns can also describe a loss.
Suppose an investment has a simple return of -20%.
The minus sign tells us that the investment lost value.
Convert -20% into decimal form:
-20% = -0.20
Use the formula:
r = ln(1 + R)
r = ln(1 - 0.20)
r = ln(0.80)
Using a calculator:
ln(0.80) ≈ -0.2231
Convert it into a percentage:
-0.2231 × 100 ≈ -22.31%
Therefore:
Simple Return = -20%
Continuously Compounded Return ≈ -22.31%
Again, these are not two separate losses. They are two different ways of describing the same loss.
Why Do Investors Often Prefer Simple Returns?
For many ordinary investors, simple returns are easier to understand.
Suppose you start with:
$1,000
and finish with:
$1,200
You gained:
$1,200 - $1,000 = $200
Your simple return is:
$200 / $1,000 = 20%
That is very straightforward.
The simple return directly answers:
“How much money did I gain or lose compared with the amount I started with?”
This is why simple returns are extremely useful for investors.
Why Learn Continuously Compounded Returns Then?
Even though simple returns are easier to understand, continuously compounded returns are also important and widely used in finance.
They are useful in many financial calculations, especially when working with returns over time, statistics, financial models, asset prices, and other more advanced topics.
At this stage, you mainly need to understand that continuously compounded returns are another way of expressing periodic gain or loss.
You do not need to think of them as replacing simple returns.
Both are useful.
Other Names for Continuously Compounded Returns
A continuously compounded return can also be called a:
Logarithmic return
or
Log return
These three terms mean the same thing:
Continuously Compounded Return = Logarithmic Return = Log Return
So if you later see the term log return, do not think it is a completely new type of return. It is simply another name for a continuously compounded return.
What Does “Return” Mean When the Type Is Not Specified?
There is one final rule that is important to remember.
If the word “return” is used without telling you whether it means a simple return or a continuously compounded return, it means:
Simple Return
So:
“Return” by itself → Simple Return
If continuously compounded return, logarithmic return, or log return is meant, it will normally be specified.
One Full Example From Start to Finish
Suppose you invest $2,000 in a stock.
At the end of the period, your investment is worth $2,400.
Your gain is:
$2,400 - $2,000 = $400
Now calculate the simple return:
Simple Return = $400 / $2,000
Simple Return = 0.20 = 20%
Therefore:
R = 20%
Now convert that simple return into a continuously compounded return.
Convert 20% into decimal form:
20% = 0.20
Use:
r = ln(1 + R)
r = ln(1 + 0.20)
r = ln(1.20)
Using a calculator:
r ≈ 0.1823
Convert it into a percentage:
0.1823 × 100 ≈ 18.23%
Therefore, the same investment performance can be expressed as:
Simple Return = 20%
or
Continuously Compounded Return ≈ 18.23%
Now suppose we only know the continuously compounded return of 18.23% and want to get back to the simple return.
Convert it into decimal form:
18.23% = 0.1823
Use:
R = e^r - 1
R = e^0.1823 - 1
R ≈ 1.20 - 1
R ≈ 0.20
Convert it into a percentage:
0.20 × 100 = 20%
So we are back to:
Simple Return = 20%
The Simplest Way to Think About It
Imagine two people describing exactly the same distance.
One says:
1,200 miles
The other says:
1,900 kilometers
Different numbers. Same distance.
Now imagine two finance students describing exactly the same investment gain.
One says:
29.5% simple return
The other says:
25.9% continuously compounded return
Different numbers. Same investment performance.
That is the main idea.
Notes
- Simple Return = R
- Continuously Compounded Return = r
- A continuously compounded return is another way of expressing an investment’s periodic gain or loss.
- Simple returns and continuously compounded returns describe the same investment performance, but use different calculations.
- Think of it like miles and kilometers: different numbers, same distance.
- Simple → Continuously Compounded formula: r = ln(1 + R)
- Continuously Compounded → Simple formula: R = e^r - 1
- ln = natural logarithm.
- e ≈ 2.71828
- Use the ln button on a calculator to calculate a natural logarithm.
- Use the e^x or exp function on a calculator when converting back to a simple return.
- Always convert a percentage into a decimal before putting it into the formulas.
- Example: 29.5% = 0.295
- Example: 25.9% = 0.259
- Coca-Cola 2009 Simple Return = 29.5%.
- Coca-Cola 2009 Continuously Compounded Return = 25.9%.
- The two percentages are different but represent the same investment performance.
- Continuously Compounded Return = Logarithmic Return = Log Return.
- These three names refer to the same concept.
- When simple returns are small, simple returns and continuously compounded returns are very close.
- When R is small: r ≈ R
- The symbol ≈ means “approximately equal to.”
- Example: 2% simple return ≈ 1.98% continuously compounded return.
- Larger returns can create a larger difference between the two measures.
- Continuously compounded returns can also be negative when an investment loses money.
- Simple returns are often easier for investors because they directly compare beginning money with ending money.
- Continuously compounded returns are still important and widely used in finance.
- If only the word “return” is used without specifying the type, it means simple return.
- Easy memory rule: Simple → ln → Continuous.
- Easy memory rule: Continuous → e → Simple.
- Simplest idea to remember: simple return and continuously compounded return are two different ways of expressing the same gain or loss.
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Finance
Simple Returns
A simple return, written as R, tells us how much an investment gained or lost during a certain period compared with the amount invested at the beginning. In very simple terms, it answers the question: “How much did I make or lose compared with what I originally paid?” A simple return can come from two places. The first is the change in the price of the asset, called a capital gain or loss. The second is any cash received while owning the asset, such as a dividend from a stock or an interest payment from a bond.
For a stock, the simple return formula is:
R = ((pE - pB) + D) / pB
In this formula, R means simple return, pB means the price per share at the beginning of the period, pE means the price per share at the end of the period, and D means the dividend per share received during the period.
The easiest way to understand the formula is to read it as: take the change in price, add the dividend received, and divide everything by the price you originally paid.
A share is one unit of ownership in a company. The price per share tells us how much one share costs. For example, if a stock has a price per share of $40, buying one share costs $40. Buying 5 shares costs $200, while buying 20 shares costs $800. The number of shares changes the total amount invested, but the price per share is still $40.
A dividend is cash paid by a company to its shareholders. Dividends are usually stated as a dividend per share. For example, if a company pays a dividend of $1.50 per share, a person who owns 1 share receives $1.50. Someone who owns 10 shares receives $15, and someone who owns 100 shares receives $150.
The total dividend can therefore be calculated as:
Total Dividend = Dividend Per Share × Number of Shares
For example, suppose a company pays a dividend of $1.50 per share and you own 30 shares. Your total dividend is:
$1.50 × 30 = $45
Therefore, you receive $45 in total dividends.
The dividend yield is different from the dividend itself. A dividend is an amount of money, while the dividend yield is a percentage. Dividend yield tells us how large the dividend is compared with the beginning price of the share.
For the holding period used in the simple-return calculation:
Dividend Yield = D / pB
Suppose a share costs $40 at the beginning of the period and pays a dividend of $2 per share. The dividend yield is:
$2 / $40 = 0.05 = 5%
Therefore, the dividend yield is 5%. This means that the dividend received is equal to 5% of the amount originally invested.
Buying more shares changes the total dollar amount of the dividend, but it does not normally change the dividend yield percentage if every share was bought at the same price and receives the same dividend per share. For example, if one share costs $40 and pays a $2 dividend, the dividend yield is 5%. If you buy 10 shares, you invest $400 and receive $20 in total dividends:
$20 / $400 = 0.05 = 5%
If you buy 100 shares, you invest $4,000 and receive $200 in total dividends:
$200 / $4,000 = 0.05 = 5%
The dollar amounts become larger because you own more shares, but the dividend yield remains 5%.
A capital gain happens when the price of an asset increases. A capital loss happens when its price decreases. The capital gain or loss, expressed as a percentage of the beginning price, is:
Capital Gain/Loss = (pE - pB) / pB
For example, suppose you buy a share for $40 and later sell it for $50. The price increased by:
$50 - $40 = $10
The capital gain is:
$10 / $40 = 0.25 = 25%
Therefore, you earned a 25% capital gain from the increase in the share price.
If instead you bought the share for $40 and later sold it for $35, the price decreased by $5. That would be a capital loss rather than a capital gain.
A simple return combines the capital gain or loss with the dividend yield. Therefore:
Simple Return = Capital Gain or Loss + Dividend Yield
Example: One Share
Suppose you buy one share for a beginning price of:
pB = $50
One year later, the share price has increased to:
pE = $60
During the year, the company also pays:
D = $2
in dividends per share.
The simple return is:
R = (($60 - $50) + $2) / $50
First, calculate the price change:
$60 - $50 = $10
Then add the dividend:
$10 + $2 = $12
You made a total gain of $12 from an original investment of $50:
R = $12 / $50
R = 0.24 = 24%
Therefore:
R = 24%
The 24% simple return has two components. The capital gain is:
($60 - $50) / $50 = $10 / $50 = 0.20 = 20%
The dividend yield is:
$2 / $50 = 0.04 = 4%
Adding them together gives:
20% + 4% = 24%
Therefore:
Simple Return = 24%
Example: Different Number of Shares
Now suppose you buy 25 shares instead of one share. The beginning price is still $50 per share, so the total amount invested is:
$50 × 25 = $1,250
At the end of the period, each share is worth $60. Therefore, the total value of the 25 shares is:
$60 × 25 = $1,500
The increase in the value of the shares is:
$1,500 - $1,250 = $250
The dividend is $2 per share, and you own 25 shares, so the total dividend received is:
$2 × 25 = $50
Your total gain is therefore:
$250 + $50 = $300
Compared with your original investment of $1,250:
R = $300 / $1,250
R = 0.24 = 24%
The number of shares increased your total dollar profit from $12 to $300, but the percentage return stayed at 24%.
This shows an important difference between amounts and percentages. The price per share tells us the price of one unit. The dividend per share tells us how much dividend is paid for one unit. The number of shares tells us how many units we own. The total dividend tells us how much dividend money we receive from all our shares together. The dividend yield expresses the dividend as a percentage of the beginning price. The simple return expresses the total gain or loss as a percentage of the beginning investment.
The Coca-Cola example in the original notes follows exactly the same idea. A share was bought at the end of 2008 for $45.27 and sold at the end of 2009 for $57.00. During 2009, a dividend of $1.64 per share was received. The simple return was therefore:
R = (($57.00 - $45.27) + $1.64) / $45.27
First, calculate the increase in the share price:
$57.00 - $45.27 = $11.73
Then add the dividend:
$11.73 + $1.64 = $13.37
Now compare the total gain of $13.37 with the original price of $45.27:
R = $13.37 / $45.27
R = 0.2953 ≈ 29.5%
Therefore:
Simple Return ≈ 29.5%
This return can again be separated into two components. The increase in Coca-Cola’s share price produced a capital gain of approximately 25.9%.
Capital Gain:
($57.00 - $45.27) / $45.27
$11.73 / $45.27 = 0.259 ≈ 25.9%
The dividend produced a dividend yield of approximately 3.6%.
Dividend Yield:
$1.64 / $45.27 = 0.0362 ≈ 3.6%
Adding the two together gives:
25.9% + 3.6% = 29.5%
Therefore, the total simple return was approximately 29.5%.
The idea of a simple return is not limited to stocks. It can be used for other assets as well. For example, if you buy a bond, you may receive an interest payment instead of a dividend. You can still calculate the simple return by taking the change in the bond’s price, adding the interest payment received, and comparing the total with the bond’s beginning price.
In general, the simple return of an asset can be understood as:
Simple Return = (Capital Gain or Loss + Cash Flow Received) / Beginning Price
For a stock, the cash flow may be a dividend. For a bond, the cash flow may be an interest payment. The basic idea stays the same: compare everything you gained or lost during the period with the amount you had invested at the beginning.
Finally, simple returns may also be called arithmetic returns or holding-period returns. In this context, these terms refer to the same basic concept.
Notes
- Share = one unit of ownership in a company.
- Price per share = the price of one share.
- Number of shares = how many shares you own.
- Dividend = cash paid by a company to shareholders.
- Dividend per share (D) = dividend paid for each individual share.
- Total Dividend = Dividend Per Share × Number of Shares.
- Dividend Yield = dividend received compared with the beginning price.
- Dividend Yield formula = D / pB.
- Capital Gain = increase in an asset’s price.
- Capital Loss = decrease in an asset’s price.
- Capital Gain/Loss formula = (pE - pB) / pB.
- pB = price at the beginning of the period.
- pE = price at the end of the period.
- D = dividend per share received during the period.
- R = simple return.
- Simple Return formula = ((pE - pB) + D) / pB.
- Simple Return = Capital Gain/Loss + Dividend Yield.
- More shares = larger total dollar investment.
- More shares = larger total dollar dividend.
- More shares do not automatically mean a higher percentage return.
- For stocks, cash flow is commonly a dividend.
- For bonds, cash flow is commonly an interest payment.
- Simple return, arithmetic return, and holding-period return are names for the same concept in this discussion.
- The easiest way to remember simple return is: price change + cash received, divided by beginning price.